Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000631 0.000716 0.000805 0.000907 0.001019 0.001138 0.001274
2026-01-04 0.000505 0.000624 0.000758 0.000920 0.001109 0.001321 0.001576
2026-01-11 0.000426 0.000559 0.000716 0.000913 0.001152 0.001429 0.001774
2026-01-18 0.000364 0.000504 0.000676 0.000900 0.001181 0.001517 0.001946
2026-01-25 0.000325 0.000472 0.000658 0.000909 0.001232 0.001628 0.002145
2026-02-01 0.000291 0.000441 0.000639 0.000912 0.001273 0.001725 0.002328
2026-02-08 0.000250 0.000398 0.000598 0.000883 0.001268 0.001762 0.002433
2026-02-15 0.000218 0.000362 0.000564 0.000858 0.001267 0.001801 0.002540
2026-02-22 0.000196 0.000339 0.000545 0.000854 0.001291 0.001872 0.002688
2026-03-01 0.000178 0.000320 0.000531 0.000854 0.001320 0.001950 0.002846
2026-03-08 0.000160 0.000299 0.000512 0.000845 0.001334 0.002006 0.002977
2026-03-15 0.000143 0.000279 0.000491 0.000832 0.001341 0.002053 0.003094
2026-03-22 0.000136 0.000274 0.000495 0.000855 0.001404 0.002178 0.003323
2026-03-29 0.000127 0.000265 0.000492 0.000869 0.001451 0.002285 0.003529
2026-04-05 0.000115 0.000250 0.000477 0.000862 0.001467 0.002343 0.003668
2026-04-12 0.000104 0.000234 0.000460 0.000850 0.001474 0.002390 0.003791
2026-04-19 0.000097 0.000226 0.000455 0.000858 0.001512 0.002483 0.003981
2026-04-26 0.000089 0.000217 0.000447 0.000861 0.001541 0.002563 0.004154
2026-05-03 0.000078 0.000198 0.000422 0.000833 0.001520 0.002566 0.004213
2026-05-10 0.000069 0.000182 0.000401 0.000810 0.001505 0.002578 0.004286
2026-05-17 0.000063 0.000173 0.000391 0.000806 0.001521 0.002637 0.004428
2026-05-24 0.000058 0.000166 0.000384 0.000806 0.001543 0.002706 0.004588
2026-05-31 0.000053 0.000157 0.000372 0.000797 0.001550 0.002750 0.004710